Castel Rigone vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel Rigone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MES
2 - 0
CAS
52%
24%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
RAA
64%
21%
14%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAS
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SOR
0 - 1
CAS
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
USP
1 - 0
SOR
17%
23%
59%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
TER
1 - 1
USP
77%
16%
8%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
USP
2 - 2
ARZ
48%
26%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
USP
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ISC
0 - 0
USP
71%
19%
10%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |