Castel Rigone vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel Rigone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAS
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SOR
0 - 1
CAS
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 0
VIG
56%
24%
20%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
TER
3 - 4
CAS
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 0
ASM
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
TER
1 - 0
RAA
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
GAV
0 - 0
RAA
45%
26%
30%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
RAA
3 - 1
USF
11%
20%
69%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +5 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
RAA
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |