Castel Rigone vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel Rigone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ARZ
2 - 3
CAS
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 1
TUT
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAS
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 2
NUO
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
USP
1 - 0
CAS
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 1
TER
21%
25%
54%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
APR
4 - 4
ASM
49%
25%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
NUO
1 - 0
ASM
81%
14%
6%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 0
USP
44%
26%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
ASM
52%
25%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |