Castanhal vs Tuna Luso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
4DE
0 - 3
CAS
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 2
FPI
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 0
CAS
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
MOT
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
AGU
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
TUN
1 - 1
FPI
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
4DE
3 - 0
TUN
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 3
JCA
89%
9%
2%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
TOC
3 - 1
TUN
14%
21%
65%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
TUN
4 - 2
AGU
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |