Castanhal vs São Raimundo RR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
CAS
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 1
GAL
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 1
CAS
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
PAY
16%
23%
61%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
IND
1 - 2
CAS
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Raimundo RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
FAS
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 3
SAO
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 1
NAU
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
GAS
0 - 1
SAO
31%
22%
46%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
SAO
3 - 0
ARO
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |