Castanhal vs São Francisco PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BPA
0 - 0
CAS
32%
24%
45%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
AGU
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 0
CAS
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
PAC
56%
24%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
FPI
3 - 1
CAS
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
São Francisco PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FRA
0 - 1
REM
6%
16%
77%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 0
SEC
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 2
REC
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 0
FRA
65%
18%
16%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TAP
1 - 1
FRA
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |