Castanhal vs Peñarol AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
CAS
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
5 - 0
GAS
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
YAP
0 - 2
CAS
13%
20%
67%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
CAS
21%
21%
58%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
FAS
72%
19%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAS
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
GAL
1 - 3
PEN
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
5 - 0
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
YAP
1 - 0
PEN
23%
25%
53%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |