Castanhal vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
65.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 2
PIN
76%
15%
10%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 3
CAS
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAM
46%
25%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
REC
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
PAY
3 - 0
CAS
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 3
PAY
15%
23%
62%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
PAY
3 - 0
FRA
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
REM
2 - 1
PAY
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
IAC
1 - 0
PAY
14%
18%
68%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
PAY
3 - 0
CAS
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | +1 |