Castanhal vs Galvez EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
24.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 1
CAS
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
PAY
16%
23%
61%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
IND
1 - 2
CAS
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
IND
50%
25%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
CEC
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Galvez EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
GAL
1 - 3
ATL
6%
16%
77%
|
37 | 76 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
PAY
4 - 1
GAL
79%
15%
6%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
SAO
3 - 4
GAL
41%
23%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ARN
5 - 1
GAL
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
GAL
1 - 1
ARN
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |