Paraense Inicial Fase Final Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Castanhal vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
SEC
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
REM
10%
20%
70%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 1
CAS
16%
19%
66%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 2
CAS
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PAY
2 - 1
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 0
IND
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BPA
1 - 1
AGU
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 0
GOI
6%
15%
79%
|
43 | 77 | 34 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 0
SEC
64%
19%
16%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
4 - 1
TAP
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |