Castanhal vs SE Caete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
REM
10%
20%
70%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 1
CAS
16%
19%
66%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 2
CAS
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PAY
2 - 1
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
RDA
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SE Caete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SEC
0 - 2
CAM
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 0
SEC
64%
19%
16%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SEC
2 - 1
PAY
7%
14%
79%
|
26 | 63 | 37 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TUN
1 - 0
SEC
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SEC
1 - 1
IND
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |