Castanhal vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
16%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 3
CAS
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
JCA
1 - 0
CAS
15%
22%
63%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
TOC
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
TOC
4 - 1
CAS
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
JCA
82%
14%
5%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 2
FPI
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
TOC
0 - 0
4DE
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 2
JCA
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
JCA
0 - 0
4DE
21%
22%
58%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 2
TOC
43%
27%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |