Castanet vs Pau FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
4º
3º
42
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LES
2 - 1
CAS
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 0
CRF
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 3
LEG
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GDB
0 - 1
CAS
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 0
CAS
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Pau FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 0
BLA
46%
24%
29%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FCP
5 - 2
FCA
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LES
1 - 0
FCP
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 0
LEG
48%
23%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GDB
1 - 0
FCP
34%
25%
40%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |