Castanet vs Onet Le Château analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
13º
6º
18
7º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 53 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 44 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 39 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 37 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 37 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 34 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 27 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 26 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 20 |
14º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
15% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAY
5 - 1
CAS
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 0
STA
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 1
CAS
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
GDB
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
LEG
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Onet Le Château
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BAS
2 - 2
ONE
34%
21%
44%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ONE
4 - 2
COL
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FCP
4 - 2
ONE
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ONE
1 - 1
TRE
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BLA
2 - 3
ONE
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |