Castanet vs Olympique Alès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AGD
1 - 4
CAS
41%
24%
36%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
BAL
53%
23%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AJA
4 - 2
CAS
55%
20%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
TOU
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
PAU
3 - 3
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Olympique Alès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 3
AUB
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
OLY
2 - 0
SCR
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AGD
2 - 2
OLY
32%
23%
46%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
OLY
2 - 2
BAL
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
ANN
4 - 1
OLY
61%
22%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |