Castanet vs Nîmes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 1
BAL
35%
24%
42%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NIM
0 - 2
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 2
MON
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 0
CAS
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 1
ROD
29%
23%
49%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Nîmes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
NAR
0 - 1
NIM
34%
22%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NIM
0 - 2
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FAB
4 - 1
NIM
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
NIM
1 - 1
AGD
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BLA
0 - 3
NIM
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +2 |