Castanet vs Nîmes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
SCR
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AUB
1 - 1
CAS
55%
20%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 1
OLY
45%
22%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AGD
1 - 4
CAS
41%
24%
36%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
BAL
53%
23%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NIM
0 - 0
AUB
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 0
NIM
44%
22%
34%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NIM
2 - 1
AGD
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 3
NIM
31%
27%
43%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
NIM
1 - 2
AJA
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |