Castanet vs Narbonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
41.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
NIM
2 - 1
CAS
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAS
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 5
ROD
30%
23%
47%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
BLA
27%
22%
51%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 1
BAL
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ROD
1 - 1
NAR
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 5
MON
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BLA
1 - 1
NAR
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
NAR
3 - 2
AGD
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |