Castanet vs Alberes Argelès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
MUR
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 2
CAS
54%
21%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
5 - 3
BEA
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TOU
3 - 2
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 3
AGD
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -3 |
Matches
Alberes Argelès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
TOU
3 - 0
FCA
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 0
AGD
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 0
FCA
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
FCA
4 - 0
BAL
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
NAR
0 - 0
FCA
36%
23%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |