Castanet vs Fabrègues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
58.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
TOU
0 - 0
CAS
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
AVE
14%
18%
68%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
LUZ
2 - 0
CAS
86%
11%
4%
|
22 | 58 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
NAR
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
NIM
2 - 1
CAS
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
FAB
1 - 1
ROD
9%
17%
73%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
FAB
0 - 1
BAL
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ROD
1 - 0
FAB
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
FCV
0 - 4
FAB
8%
14%
79%
|
35 | 8 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FAB
1 - 4
MON
44%
23%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |