Castanet vs Fabrègues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
27%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
NIM
0 - 4
CAS
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SCR
5 - 4
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
AUB
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
OLY
0 - 0
CAS
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 3
AGD
60%
21%
20%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FAB
2 - 1
AUB
24%
22%
55%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
OLY
2 - 2
FAB
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FAB
0 - 0
AGD
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
4 - 1
FAB
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FAB
1 - 1
AJA
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |