Castanet vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
4º
3º
51
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCP
0 - 2
CAS
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
LES
44%
27%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LEG
1 - 2
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
GDB
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
CAS
37%
25%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 4
BLA
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 1
FCP
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LES
1 - 0
BLA
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
LEG
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GDB
0 - 1
BLA
41%
25%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |