Castanet vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 0
CAS
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 3
SAM
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAS
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -3 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
NAR
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FAB
2 - 0
CAS
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BEA
2 - 1
BLA
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 3
OLY
17%
22%
61%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SAM
3 - 0
BLA
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 1
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
NAR
2 - 1
BLA
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |