Castanet vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NIM
0 - 2
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 2
MON
26%
21%
53%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 0
CAS
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 1
ROD
29%
23%
49%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
FCA
0 - 0
CAS
49%
22%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BAL
3 - 1
FAB
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
AGD
2 - 1
BAL
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BAL
1 - 0
BLA
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
TOU
6 - 1
BAL
41%
25%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
BAL
0 - 0
OLY
43%
26%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |