Castanet vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
44.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
MON
22%
20%
58%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
BLA
4 - 0
CAS
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 1
OLY
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CRF
3 - 4
CAS
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
FAB
21%
21%
59%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 0
ROD
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
BAL
56%
24%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
AGD
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
OLY
2 - 1
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 0
CRF
26%
22%
52%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |