Castanet vs RCO Agde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
4 - 1
CAS
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
AJA
44%
22%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
FUR
2 - 1
CAS
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
ROD
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SCT
0 - 1
CAS
26%
22%
53%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
RCO Agde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AGD
1 - 1
AUB
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
OLY
1 - 2
AGD
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 1
AGD
55%
25%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
AGD
0 - 2
AJA
40%
26%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TOU
0 - 0
AGD
50%
26%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |