Castanese vs Triestina 1946 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PRE
2 - 1
CAS
17%
20%
63%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
FOO
72%
17%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
SOL
2 - 3
CAS
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
SED
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAS
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina 1946
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TRI
0 - 1
CAS
21%
21%
59%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BON
2 - 1
TRI
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
VAN
1 - 2
TRI
67%
19%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TRI
1 - 2
BOL
26%
23%
51%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ARC
4 - 1
TRI
44%
23%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |