Cassis-Carnoux vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
48.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
ROD
1 - 1
CAS
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
CAS
1 - 2
AMI
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
FCG
3 - 0
CAS
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 1
LUS
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
HYE
1 - 2
CAS
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
TRO
1 - 0
PFC
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
PLA
3 - 0
TRO
15%
26%
59%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
VAN
1 - 1
TRO
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
BAY
0 - 0
TRO
18%
27%
55%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 2
CAN
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |