Cassis-Carnoux vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
11º
11º
17
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
76.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SCR
1 - 1
CAS
30%
25%
46%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAN
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LUC
1 - 1
CAS
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
EUA
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
AJA
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 3
CAN
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RSV
2 - 5
NIC
55%
20%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NIC
2 - 2
AJA
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
NIC
21%
20%
60%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NIC
4 - 5
MAR
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |