Cassis-Carnoux vs Gallia Lucciana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
11º
11º
33
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
23.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
76.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RSV
1 - 0
CAS
19%
22%
59%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
CAS
3 - 0
ETG
20%
27%
54%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -4 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
TRO
2 - 0
CAS
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
CAS
3 - 1
FCG
38%
28%
35%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
PAC
5 - 2
CAS
64%
23%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Gallia Lucciana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
EUA
0 - 2
LUC
19%
21%
61%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
IST
2 - 1
LUC
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
LUC
0 - 1
NIC
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LUC
3 - 2
GAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
USM
0 - 4
LUC
8%
15%
77%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |