Cassis-Carnoux vs Ardziv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
11º
11º
25
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
23.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
76.5% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
AJA
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GAZ
0 - 0
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAS
16%
21%
64%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GAZ
2 - 3
EUA
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
EUA
2 - 2
BAL
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
IST
1 - 1
EUA
65%
18%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
EUA
3 - 2
NIC
17%
19%
63%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 0
EUA
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |