Cassis-Carnoux vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
OLY
0 - 1
CAS
59%
22%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
CAS
2 - 1
NIC
53%
24%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
GAZ
1 - 0
CAS
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
CAS
1 - 2
FRE
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CAS
4 - 1
MAR
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 0
MAR
76%
16%
9%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
SAI
2 - 1
CAB
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
CAB
0 - 0
GAP
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
MON
3 - 0
CAB
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 1
JUR
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |