Caspe vs Mallén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1988 |
ATC
2 - 1
CAS
61%
23%
16%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
CAS
1 - 1
ICF
56%
24%
20%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
ACF
2 - 1
CAS
61%
23%
16%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
CAS
3 - 0
ALC
61%
22%
17%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
PER
0 - 3
CAS
43%
27%
30%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mallén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1988 |
MAL
3 - 1
SAR
34%
29%
38%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
LAA
0 - 2
MAL
43%
26%
30%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
MAL
1 - 0
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
CDM
0 - 1
MAL
39%
26%
35%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
MAL
2 - 3
EJE
35%
28%
37%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |