Caspe vs Illueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
15º
13º
45
2º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 1
CAS
46%
26%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
TAM
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CFA
1 - 0
CAS
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
EPI
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LAA
1 - 1
CAS
38%
24%
39%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ICF
1 - 1
CDC
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
RUN
2 - 0
ICF
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ICF
0 - 0
CAL
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
ANG
0 - 1
ICF
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ICF
4 - 0
TAM
38%
24%
39%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +3 |