Caspe vs Illueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
BEL
49%
28%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SAA
1 - 1
CAS
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
ROB
31%
27%
43%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BIN
3 - 0
CAS
56%
23%
21%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
CUA
26%
26%
48%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ICF
4 - 0
BIE
77%
16%
8%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
EPI
0 - 1
ICF
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ICF
3 - 1
GIN
69%
19%
13%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SDB
2 - 2
ICF
31%
26%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ICF
1 - 1
UFC
44%
26%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |