Caspe vs Almudévar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
TER
1 - 0
CAS
81%
13%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
EJE
0 - 0
CAS
64%
20%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
CUA
33%
26%
41%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TAM
1 - 1
CAS
41%
25%
34%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
ATL
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Almudévar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CFA
5 - 0
CUA
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TAM
1 - 2
CFA
24%
26%
50%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CFA
2 - 2
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
CFA
12%
22%
66%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CFA
0 - 0
AND
40%
26%
34%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |