Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-1
Caspe vs Alcañiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
CAS
3 - 0
EJE
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
FRA
0 - 0
CAS
81%
13%
5%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
CAS
2 - 2
MAL
70%
19%
12%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
ACF
1 - 0
CAS
44%
26%
30%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
UFC
1 - 2
CAS
64%
21%
15%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alcañiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
BIE
0 - 0
ACF
14%
25%
61%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
ACF
5 - 1
CDE
31%
28%
41%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
TAR
1 - 0
ACF
38%
27%
35%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
ACF
1 - 0
CAS
44%
26%
30%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
ACF
1 - 1
CDU
64%
22%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |