Casimiro De Abreu vs Mesquita FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
69.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casimiro De Abreu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 2
CDA
74%
15%
10%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
SER
4 - 0
CDA
76%
15%
9%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
MAC
5 - 0
CDA
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CDA
0 - 1
CAM
28%
24%
47%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
FAC
4 - 1
CDA
76%
15%
10%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mesquita FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
MES
2 - 6
CER
43%
22%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 1
MES
67%
18%
16%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
MES
1 - 1
SAO
18%
18%
64%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
MES
1 - 3
SER
36%
28%
36%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +3 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
MES
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |