Cashmere Technical vs Wellington Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
57.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
8º
5º
20
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PET
1 - 5
CAS
10%
13%
77%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
AFC
61%
19%
20%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CHR
1 - 3
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
FER
92%
5%
2%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 4
CAS
7%
11%
82%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -2 |
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WEL
8 - 1
NAP
88%
8%
4%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 5
WEL
7%
13%
81%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WEL
8 - 3
WSU
87%
9%
4%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 4
WEL
9%
14%
77%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WEL
6 - 3
STO
88%
9%
4%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |