Cashmere Technical vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.6%
Win probability
4.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.2%
7-0
3.4%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.5%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.2%
5-0
8.9%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.8%
4-0
11%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
5.1%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.1%
2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
3º
1º
25
5º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 6
CAS
10%
12%
78%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAS
6 - 1
UOC
93%
5%
2%
|
35 | 8 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAS
6 - 2
NSF
90%
7%
3%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 8
CAS
6%
9%
86%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
COA
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FER
2 - 3
NSF
35%
22%
43%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SUF
2 - 4
FER
8%
14%
78%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
FER
0 - 3
COA
16%
18%
66%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 4
FER
11%
15%
74%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
DUN
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |