Cashmere Technical vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92%
Win probability
4.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.6%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.3%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
5.3%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.3%
2.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
2º
2º
26
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 4
CAS
7%
11%
82%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
SUF
95%
4%
1%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 1
CAS
5%
9%
85%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
COA
92%
6%
3%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 3
CHR
57%
19%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FER
6 - 1
FCT
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
CHR
3 - 0
FER
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NSF
2 - 1
FER
65%
17%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FER
4 - 1
DUN
28%
22%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SUF
3 - 5
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |