Cashmere Technical vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92%
Win probability
4.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.6%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.3%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
5.3%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.3%
2.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
2º
2º
26
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 4
CAS
7%
11%
82%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
SUF
95%
4%
1%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 1
CAS
5%
9%
85%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
COA
92%
6%
3%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 3
CHR
57%
19%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FER
6 - 1
FCT
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
CHR
3 - 0
FER
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NSF
2 - 1
FER
65%
17%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FER
4 - 1
DUN
28%
22%
51%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SUF
3 - 5
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |