Cashmere Technical vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.9%
Win probability
4.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.2%
7-0
3%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.5%
6-0
5.1%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
4%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.4%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.9%
2.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
3º
1º
10
7º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
28 | 49 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 40 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 40 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 30 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 27 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 26 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 14 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 8 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 4 |
10º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
98.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 2
CHR
46%
22%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
COA
3 - 1
CAS
11%
15%
75%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -3 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FER
2 - 3
CAS
7%
11%
83%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
NOM
90%
7%
4%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CAS
11 - 0
BUR
86%
9%
5%
|
37 | 8 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
6 - 2
DUN
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 0
SUF
83%
11%
7%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
COA
2 - 1
DUN
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
FCT
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 0
UOC
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |