Cashmere Technical vs Christchurch United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
32.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
3º
1º
24
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
28 | 49 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 40 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 40 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 30 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 27 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 26 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 14 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 8 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 4 |
10º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
98.5% | 60.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
COA
3 - 1
CAS
11%
15%
75%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FER
2 - 3
CAS
7%
11%
83%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
NOM
90%
7%
4%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CAS
11 - 0
BUR
86%
9%
5%
|
37 | 8 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 7
CAS
4%
8%
88%
|
37 | 5 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
3 - 2
CHR
12%
14%
74%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CHR
4 - 0
NSF
86%
10%
5%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SUF
1 - 5
CHR
8%
12%
80%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
CHR
5 - 2
WAF
79%
13%
9%
|
40 | 6 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 3
COA
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -1 |