Casetas vs Zaragoza 2014 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 0
UDC
69%
18%
13%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MAG
1 - 2
UDC
22%
23%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UDC
6 - 0
CDM
73%
17%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SAB
2 - 0
UDC
66%
20%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UDC
0 - 0
CDA
43%
25%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zaragoza 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ZAR
1 - 0
CDM
67%
18%
15%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SAB
7 - 0
ZAR
77%
16%
8%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ZAR
1 - 0
CDA
31%
24%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
MAL
3 - 1
ZAR
59%
21%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ZAR
2 - 1
PEN
42%
23%
35%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |