Casetas vs Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
UBC
3 - 0
UDC
69%
21%
11%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
UDC
0 - 2
PON
29%
27%
45%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
BUR
2 - 0
UDC
56%
27%
17%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
UDC
2 - 0
CFJ
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
FRA
1 - 0
UDC
58%
23%
20%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
TOM
1 - 1
CDT
17%
27%
56%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
TAL
0 - 0
TOM
72%
19%
8%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
TOM
0 - 2
CUL
14%
24%
62%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
TOM
4 - 0
TOR
67%
21%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
PUE
1 - 1
TOM
41%
28%
30%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |