Casetas vs San Lorenzo Flumen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SAB
0 - 0
UDC
49%
24%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
UDC
0 - 4
EJE
10%
19%
70%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
GIN
1 - 3
UDC
66%
20%
15%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
UDC
5 - 0
ATC
43%
25%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 2
UDC
29%
24%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo Flumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
CDM
72%
17%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 1
PEN
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
BIE
3 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SAN
5 - 2
PEN
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
SIE
3 - 0
SAN
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |