Casetas vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 1
UDC
38%
29%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
UDC
3 - 1
UBC
23%
28%
49%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PON
2 - 0
UDC
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
UDC
2 - 2
BUR
30%
31%
39%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
UDC
2 - 1
MAJ
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 2
CDT
52%
27%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
TAL
3 - 0
ZAR
27%
29%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 1
CUL
35%
29%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
MIR
1 - 1
ZAR
40%
28%
31%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
ATB
1 - 0
ZAR
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |