Casetas vs Quinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 3
UDC
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
UDC
2 - 0
SAR
65%
19%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SAA
2 - 1
UDC
58%
21%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UDC
2 - 0
CDA
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAD
2 - 0
UDC
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
QUI
1 - 0
SIE
25%
26%
50%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ALF
0 - 3
QUI
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
QUI
0 - 3
ROB
15%
20%
65%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 2
QUI
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
QUI
0 - 3
ONT
27%
25%
47%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |