Casetas vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
RUN
0 - 0
UDC
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
UDC
1 - 1
RSO
63%
21%
17%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
CLU
1 - 1
UDC
47%
27%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
UDC
1 - 1
IZA
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
UDC
3 - 1
HUL
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
CFP
2 - 1
ZAR
65%
22%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
TUD
0 - 0
CFP
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
CFP
0 - 2
SSC
29%
31%
40%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
GIM
4 - 0
CFP
42%
29%
30%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
LEM
0 - 2
CFP
52%
26%
22%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |