Casetas vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
47.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
GER
0 - 0
UDC
53%
26%
21%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
UDC
3 - 5
AMU
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
BEA
2 - 0
UDC
66%
21%
13%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
UDC
1 - 1
CFP
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
RUN
0 - 0
UDC
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
NUM
1 - 1
ZAR
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
TUD
1 - 2
NUM
23%
28%
49%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
NUM
2 - 0
SSC
45%
29%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
GIM
0 - 0
NUM
23%
28%
49%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
NUM
3 - 1
LEM
73%
19%
8%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |